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Exercise 1.38 (A Game Of Chairs)
Tyrion, Cersei, and ten other people are sitting at a round table, with their seating arrangement having been randomly assigned. What is the probability that Tyrion and Cersei are sitting next to each other? Find this in two ways:
- (a)
- using a sample space of size , where an outcome is fully detailed about the seating;
- (b)
- using a much smaller sample space, which focuses on Tyrion and Cersei.
Answers
- (a)
- There are
choices of seats for Tyron and Cersei so that they sit next to each other
(
cases, where they take
and
positions and 1 case, where they take 1 and 12th position because the table
is round). Tyron can sit to the left or to the right of Cersei. The remaining
people can be ordered in
ways, so the answer is
- (b)
- There are choices of seats to be assigned to Tyron and Cersei, but only choices where they sit next to each other. Since every assignment of seats is equally likely the answer is