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Exercise 2.1 - Probability are sensitive to the form of the question that was used to generate the answer
Answers
Denote two children by and . The space of all experiment results, is composed of:
With uniform probability measure. Denote the -algebra on as .
In question (a), with the knowledge there is at least one boy, is modified into:
The event that one child is a girl is , whose probability is:
In question (b), with the knowledge that is a boy, the reduced experiment space is:
Then the probability that is a girl is:
The difference in the form of the question is reflected in that is reduced to different forms and the desired events vary with our questions.